Sequential online subsampling for thinning experimental designs
Résumé
We consider a design problem where experimental conditions (design points X i) are presented in the form of a sequence of i.i.d. random variables, generated with an unknown probability measure µ, and only a given proportion α ∈ (0, 1) can be selected. The objective is to select good candidates X i on the y and maximize a concave function Φ of the corresponding information matrix. The optimal solution corresponds to the construction of an optimal bounded design measure ξ * α ≤ µ/α, with the diculty that µ is unknown and ξ * α must be constructed online. The construction proposed relies on the denition of a threshold τ on the directional derivative of Φ at the current information matrix, the value of τ being xed by a certain quantile of the distribution of this directional derivative. Combination with recursive quantile estimation yields a nonlinear two-timescale stochastic approximation method. It can be applied to very long design sequences since only the current information matrix and estimated quantile need to be stored. Convergence to an optimum design is proved. Various illustrative examples are presented.
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