Intuition about concept of chance in elementary school children
Résumé
The paper deals with initial development of stochastic reasoning in children. After short overview of the theories of development of stochastic reasoning, we focus our attention on intuition about probability. In the second part of the paper we report results of an empirical research on intuition about the concept of chance across grades 4 th to 7 th. The analysis of findings provides evidence of preconceptions about probability of undeter-mined events. These preconceptions are in conflict with formal theory but support Siegler's rule based model. We argue that we should take into account pupils' intuition about the concept of chance as well as other prerequisite mathematics concepts (fractions, proportions, etc.).
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