Future development of ecological agriculture and regional impacts: stakeholders' perception in three French regions
Résumé
This paper explores possible future development of ecological approaches to farming in ten years' time and their environmental and socio-economic effects, as perceived by stakeholders, in three French regions (Puy-de-Dôme, Ille-et-Vilaine and Sarthe). Stakeholder perceptions are assessed with Q-methodology, a method that investigates similar or diverging subjective perspectives held by groups of stakeholders who are experts on the topics investigated. The method allows identify and describe several perspectives shared by experts on the future of farming practices and their environmental and socio-economic impacts for the three regions. Our study highlights the complexity of predicting the future shape of a region's agriculture and rural economy, as it depends on current trends in the region, the region's characteristics, as well as on the experts participating in the study. However, despite contradicting trends, one convergence of perception is found in terms of additional skills that will be needed on farms in the future.
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