A SIR epidemic model on a refining spatial grid II-central limit theorem - Archive ouverte HAL
Article Dans Une Revue Stochastics and Partial Differential Equations: Analysis and Computations Année : 2024

A SIR epidemic model on a refining spatial grid II-central limit theorem

Thierry Gallouët
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Étienne Pardoux
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Ténan Yeo
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Résumé

A stochastic SIR epidemic model taking into account the heterogeneity of the spatial environment is constructed. The deterministic model is given by a partial differential equation and the stochastic one by a space-time jump Markov process. The consistency of the two models is given by a law of large numbers. In this paper, we study the deviation of the spatial stochastic model from the deterministic model by a functional central limit theorem. The limit is a distribution-valued Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Gaussian process, which is the mild solution of a stochastic partial differential equation.
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Dates et versions

hal-04826748 , version 1 (09-12-2024)

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Thierry Gallouët, Étienne Pardoux, Ténan Yeo. A SIR epidemic model on a refining spatial grid II-central limit theorem. Stochastics and Partial Differential Equations: Analysis and Computations, 2024, ⟨10.1007/s40072-024-00333-0⟩. ⟨hal-04826748⟩
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