Uncertainty quantification and metamodeling of multi-fidelity CFD computation of a heated fuel assembly
Résumé
This study proposes to precisely quantify the uncertainty in a CPU-time costly Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) model used to evaluate local temperature field in the situation of blocked fuel assembly in a PWR transfer tube. Several uncertain parameters are identified and a first uncertainty propagation study is conducted on a low fidelity (poorly refined) mesh for CPU cost issues. Then, using the concept of "support points", an algorithm is employed to reduce the size of the initial design of experiments. A high-fidelity model (finer mesh, more CPU-time expensive) is then run on this small-size design of experiments. A metamodel was finally built on those high fidelity results to propagate uncertainties and finely analyze the results. The successful results that are obtained show that metamodeling has potential to overcome the issue of highly costly CPU-time CFD models in the near future.
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