New fertility patterns: The role of human versus physical capital - Archive ouverte HAL
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail (Working Paper) Année : 2024

New fertility patterns: The role of human versus physical capital

Résumé

We use an overlapping generations model with physical and human capital, and two reproductive periods to explore how fertility decisions may differ in response to economic incentives in early and late adulthood. In particular, we analyze the interplay between fertility choices—related to career opportunities—and wages, and investigate the role played by work experience and investment in both types of capital. We show that young adults postpone parenthood above a certain wage threshold and that late fertility increases with work experience. The long run trend is either to converge to a low productivity equilibrium, involving high early fertility, investment in physical capital and relatively low income, or to a high productivity equilibrium, where households postpone parenthood to invest in their human capital and work experience, with higher late fertility and higher levels of income. A convergence to the latter state would explain the postponement of parenthood and the mitigation or slight reversal of fertility decrease in some European countries in recent decades.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
wp_2024_-_nr_16.pdf (2.76 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

hal-04577278 , version 1 (16-05-2024)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-04577278 , version 1

Citer

Nicolas Abad, Johanna Etner, Natacha Raffin, Thomas Seegmuller. New fertility patterns: The role of human versus physical capital. 2024. ⟨hal-04577278⟩
93 Consultations
76 Téléchargements

Partager

More