Non-decreasing martingale couplings - Archive ouverte HAL
Article Dans Une Revue ESAIM: Probability and Statistics Année : 2024

Non-decreasing martingale couplings

Résumé

For many examples of couples $(\mu,\nu)$ of probability measures on the real line in the convex order, we observe numerically that the Hobson and Neuberger martingale coupling, which maximizes for $\rho=1$ the integral of $|y-x|^\rho$ with respect to any martingale coupling between $\mu$ and $\nu$, is still very close to maximize this integral for $\rho\in(0,2)$ and minimize it for $\rho>2$. We investigate theoretically when it is an optimizer for $\rho\ne 1$ and exhibit rather restrictive sufficient conditions. We also exhibit couples $(\mu,\nu)$ such that it is not an optimizer. The support of the Hobson and Neuberger coupling is known to satisfy some monotonicity property which we call non-decreasing. We check that the non-decreasing property is preserved for maximizers when $\rho\in(0,1]$. In general, there exist distinct non-decreasing martingale couplings, and we find some decomposition of $\nu$ which is in one-to-one correspondence with martingale couplings non-decreasing in a generalized sense.
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Dates et versions

hal-04086915 , version 1 (02-05-2023)

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Benjamin Jourdain, Kexin Shao. Non-decreasing martingale couplings. ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, In press, ⟨10.1051/ps/2024012⟩. ⟨hal-04086915⟩
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