Sharp approximation and hitting times for stochastic invasion processes - Archive ouverte HAL
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2023

Sharp approximation and hitting times for stochastic invasion processes

Résumé

We are interested in the invasion phase for stochastic processes with interactions when a single mutant with positive fitness arrives in a resident population at equilibrium. By a now classic approach, the first stage of the invasion is well approximated by a branching process. The macroscopic phase, when the mutant population is of the same order of the resident population, is described by the limiting dynamical system. We obtain sharper estimates and capture the intermediate mesoscopic phase for the invasive population. It allows us to characterize the hitting times of thresholds, which inherit a large variance from the first stages. These issues are motivated in particular by quantifying times to reach critical values for cancer population or epidemics.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
temps_invasion_2.pdf (589.2 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

hal-03915479 , version 1 (29-12-2022)
hal-03915479 , version 2 (03-04-2023)
hal-03915479 , version 3 (11-12-2023)
hal-03915479 , version 4 (13-06-2024)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-03915479 , version 2

Citer

Vincent Bansaye, Xavier Erny, Sylvie Méléard. Sharp approximation and hitting times for stochastic invasion processes. 2023. ⟨hal-03915479v2⟩
298 Consultations
63 Téléchargements

Partager

More