Climate-inferred distribution estimates of mid-to-late Pliocene hominins
Résumé
During the mid-to-late Pliocene (ca. 4–3 Ma), several hominin species were present in central Sahel, eastern and
southern Africa. The potential for the discovery of hominin remains from this interval is limited by the availability
of exposed Pliocene deposits and the ability to investigate them. As a result, most discoveries have been
made in the Afar region of Ethiopia and in the Lake Turkana basin, thus unveiling only a portion of Pliocene
hominins' probable geographical presence. In this study we provide a continental view of geographic areas
potentially accessible to these hominins. To do so, we estimate the climatic envelope suitable for mid-to-late
Pliocene hominin presence, using the earth system model IPSL-CM5A and the Maxent habitat suitability algorithm.
Our analysis reveals high habitat suitability for these hominin species in semi-arid regions where annual
thermal amplitude and mean annual precipitation are moderate, mostly corresponding to tropical xerophytic
shrublands. Our habitat model estimates geographically continuous, suitable climatic conditions for hominins
between central Sahel and northeastern Africa, but not between eastern and southern Africa. This discontinuity
suggests that southern African and eastern African hominins were separated by an environmental barrier that
could only be crossed during particularly favourable periods or by undertaking long-range dispersal over
climatically hostile habitats. Under climate conditions of northern hemisphere summer at perihelion this climatic
barrier is not present. In contrast, the Turkana basin, the Laetoli region, and a large part of southern Africa
remain suitable for all precession angles, suggesting that these areas may have functioned as refugia. The constant
presence of these stable areas combined with the periodic establishment of corridors for dispersion can
potentially explain hominin diversity in eastern Africa.
Domaines
ClimatologieOrigine | Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s) |
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