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Article Dans Une Revue Journal of Process Control Année : 2020

Data-driven modeling for river flood forecasting based on a piecewise linear ARX system identification

B. Hadid
  • Fonction : Auteur
E. Duviella

Résumé

Most of the studies related to the rainfall-runoff modeling of rivers consist of data-driven models, given that the corresponding physical modeling approaches are based on a thorough geological knowledge of the river in addition to a time consuming simulation. Indeed, flood forecasting services have the difficult task of avoiding natural and human disasters and choose for that to use input-output or grey box models for their simplicity and easy calibration updates. However, these models are not evolving according to the variations of environmental conditions or need at least the evapotranspiration and the soil humidity measurements in addition to the rainfall quantity. This paper gives an alternative approach to the existing rainfall/runoff linear and nonlinear models by the utilization of a hybrid system consisting in a Piecewise Auto-Regressive eXogeneous (PWARX) structure identified using an approach that alternates between data assignment and parameter estimation. The usage of this special kind of nonlinear systems bears a potential to handle the nonlinearities and varying-time delays mainly induced by the soil water storage and evapotranspiration. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd
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Dates et versions

hal-03225015 , version 1 (21-07-2022)

Licence

Paternité - Pas d'utilisation commerciale

Identifiants

Citer

B. Hadid, E. Duviella, S. Lecoeuche. Data-driven modeling for river flood forecasting based on a piecewise linear ARX system identification. Journal of Process Control, 2020, 86, pp.44-56. ⟨10.1016/j.jprocont.2019.12.007⟩. ⟨hal-03225015⟩
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