Uncertainty Quantification for Stochastic Approximation Limits Using Chaos Expansion
Résumé
The uncertainty quantification for the limit of a Stochastic
Approximation (SA) algorithm is analyzed. In our setup, this limit
$f^*$ is defined as a zero of an intractable function and is
modeled as uncertain through a parameter $\theta$. We aim at
deriving the function $f^*$, as well as the probabilistic distribution of $f^*(\theta)$
given a probability distribution $\pi$ for $\theta$. We introduce
the so-called Uncertainty Quantification for SA (UQSA) algorithm, an
SA algorithm in increasing dimension for computing the basis
coefficients of a chaos expansion of
$\theta \mapsto f^*(\theta)$ on an orthogonal basis of a
suitable Hilbert space. UQSA, run with a finite number of
iterations $K$, returns a finite set of coefficients, providing an
approximation $\widehat{f^*_K}(\cdot)$ of
$f^*$. We
establish the
almost-sure and $L^p$-convergences in the Hilbert
space of the sequence of functions $\widehat{f^*_K}(\cdot)$ when the number of
iterations $K$ tends to infinity.
This is done under mild, tractable
conditions, uncovered by the
existing literature for convergence analysis of infinite dimensional
SA algorithms. For a
suitable choice of the Hilbert basis, the algorithm also provides an
approximation of the expectation, of the variance-covariance matrix
and of higher order moments of the quantity
$\widehat{f^*_K}(\theta)$ when $\theta$ is random with
distribution $\pi$. UQSA is illustrated and the role of
its design parameters is discussed numerically.
Origine | Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s) |
---|
Loading...