Autoregressive Functions Estimation in Nonlinear Bifurcating Autoregressive Models
Résumé
Bifurcating autoregressive processes, which can be seen as an adaptation of au-toregressive processes for a binary tree structure, have been extensively studied during the last decade in a parametric context. In this work we do not specify any a priori form for the two autoregressive functions and we use nonparametric techniques. We investigate both nonasymp-totic and asymptotic behavior of the Nadaraya-Watson type estimators of the autoregressive functions. We build our estimators observing the process on a finite subtree denoted by Tn, up to the depth n. Estimators achieve the classical rate |Tn| −β/(2β+1) in quadratic loss over Hölder classes of smoothness. We prove almost sure convergence, asymptotic normality giving the bias expression when choosing the optimal bandwidth and a moderate deviations principle. Our proofs rely on specific techniques used to study bifurcating Markov chains. Finally, we address the question of asymmetry and develop an asymptotic test for the equality of the two autoregressive functions.
Mots clés
asymptotic normality
moderate deviations principle
Bifurcating Markov chains
binary trees
bifurcating autoregressive processes
non-parametric estimation
Nadaraya-Watson estimator
minimax rates of convergence
asymmetry test Mathematics Subject Classification (2010): 62G05
62G10
62G20
60J80
60F05
60F10
60J20
92D25
Domaines
Théorie [stat.TH]Origine | Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s) |
---|