Multiple change-point detection for some point processes - Archive ouverte HAL
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2023

Multiple change-point detection for some point processes

Multiple change-point detection for some point processes

Résumé

The aim of change-point detection is to identify behavioral shifts within time series data. This article focuses on scenarios where the data is derived from an inhomogeneous Poisson process or a marked Poisson process. We present a methodology for detecting multiple offline change-points using a minimum contrast estimator. Specifically, we address how to manage the continuous nature of the process given the available discrete observations. Additionally, we select the appropriate number of changes via a cross-validation procedure which is particularly effective given the characteristics of the Poisson process. Lastly, we show how to use this methodology to self-exciting processes with changes in the intensity. Through experiments, with both simulated and real datasets, we showcase the advantages of the proposed method, which has been implemented in the R package \texttt{CptPointProcess}.
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Dates et versions

hal-04771467 , version 1 (07-11-2024)

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C. Dion-Blanc, D. Hawat, E. Lebarbier, Stephane S. Robin. Multiple change-point detection for some point processes. 2024. ⟨hal-04771467⟩
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