Better two eyes than one: A synthesis classification of exchange rate regimes - Archive ouverte HAL
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail (Working Paper) Année : 2024

Better two eyes than one: A synthesis classification of exchange rate regimes

Cécile Couharde

Résumé

This paper proposes a new de facto classification of exchange rate regimes, the synthesis classification. This framework offers several advantages over existing de facto classifications. First, it provides a unified framework that integrates the most divergent classifications, the RR and LYS classifications, not only achieving broader coverage but also encompassing a wide spectrum of exchange regimes. Second, it fits better with the historical developments of exchange rate regimes in the post-Bretton Woods era. Among others, it brings a nuanced perspective on the so-called hollowing-out hypothesis by showing that the evolution of de facto regimes —especially in emerging economies since the late 1990s— has essentially involved a shift toward more tightly “managed” intermediate regimes, rather than a move away from them. As an illustration of the insightfulness of our classification, we empirically revisit the relationship between currency crises and exchange rate regimes. Our classification not only associates a higher probability of currency crisis with both intermediate and floating regimes, but also shows better statistical performances in predicting currency crises compared to other classifications.
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Dates et versions

hal-04752826 , version 1 (25-10-2024)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-04752826 , version 1

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Cécile Couharde, Carl Grekou. Better two eyes than one: A synthesis classification of exchange rate regimes. 2021. ⟨hal-04752826⟩
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