C3S Energy: A climate service for the provision of power supply and demand indicators for Europe based on the ERA5 reanalysis and ENTSO‐E data - Archive ouverte HAL Accéder directement au contenu
Article Dans Une Revue Meteorological Applications Année : 2023

C3S Energy: A climate service for the provision of power supply and demand indicators for Europe based on the ERA5 reanalysis and ENTSO‐E data

Laurent Dubus
RTE
Yves‐marie Saint-Drenan
Alberto Troccoli
Matteo de Felice
Yohann Moreau
  • Fonction : Auteur
Linh Ho-Tran
Clare Goodess
Rodrigo Amaro E Silva
Luke Sanger
  • Fonction : Auteur

Résumé

Abstract The EU Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) has produced an operational climate service, called C3S Energy, designed to enable the energy industry and policymakers to assess the impacts of climate variability and climate change on the energy sector in Europe. The C3S Energy service covers different time horizons, for the past 40 years and the future. It provides time series of electricity demand and supply from wind, solar photovoltaic and hydropower, and can be used for recent trends analysis, seasonal outlooks or the assessment of climate change impacts on energy mixes in the long term. This article introduces this service and the resulting dataset, with a focus on the design and validation of the energy conversion models, based on ENTSO‐E energy data and the ERA5 climate reanalysis. Flexibility and coherence across all countries have been preferred upon models' accuracy. However, the comparison with ENTSO‐E data shows that the models provide plausible energy indicators and, in particular, allow comparing climate variability effects on power demand and generation in a harmonized manner all over Europe.

Domaines

Climatologie

Dates et versions

hal-04488815 , version 1 (04-03-2024)

Identifiants

Citer

Laurent Dubus, Yves‐marie Saint-Drenan, Alberto Troccoli, Matteo de Felice, Yohann Moreau, et al.. C3S Energy: A climate service for the provision of power supply and demand indicators for Europe based on the ERA5 reanalysis and ENTSO‐E data. Meteorological Applications, 2023, 30 (5), ⟨10.1002/met.2145⟩. ⟨hal-04488815⟩
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