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Article Dans Une Revue Qeios Année : 2023

Towards a Model-Based Approach: Applications to Historical Demography and Palaeodemography

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There is a large variety of different kinds of models. However we think that they all have in common to represent something beyond themselves: they are representations of parts of the world. As scientists, we are driven to select only a few aspects of the phenomena studied. However these aspects will be characterised with great precision. This explains why models are only considering parts of the world as we are driven to select only a few aspects of the phenomena studied. We will first give an historical presentation of models to show their usefulness in the past. We will then develop agent-based models, which are most used in demography, but also in historical demography. Some of them are not able to solve this incompleteness. Finally, we will show how a deeper philosophical approach of these problems may permit a true scientific treatment of explanation in demography.
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hal-04378835 , version 1 (08-01-2024)

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Daniel Courgeau. Towards a Model-Based Approach: Applications to Historical Demography and Palaeodemography. Qeios, 2023, pp.D5RTMR. ⟨10.32388/D5RTMR⟩. ⟨hal-04378835⟩
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