Waste-Free Sequential Monte Carlo - Archive ouverte HAL
Article Dans Une Revue Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B Année : 2022

Waste-Free Sequential Monte Carlo

Résumé

A standard way to move particles in a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) sampler is to apply several steps of a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) kernel. Unfortunately, it is not clear how many steps need to be performed for optimal performance. In addition, the output of the intermediate steps are discarded and thus wasted somehow. We propose a new, waste-free SMC algorithm which uses the outputs of all these intermediate MCMC steps as particles. We establish that its output is consistent and asymptotically normal. We use the expression of the asymptotic variance to develop various insights on how to implement the algorithm in practice. We develop in particular a method to estimate, from a single run of the algorithm, the asymptotic variance of any particle estimate. We show empirically, through a range of numerical examples, that waste-free SMC tends to outperform standard SMC samplers, and especially so in situations where the mixing of the considered MCMC kernels decreases across iterations (as in tempering or rare event problems).
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
2011.02328.pdf (710.06 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

hal-04273259 , version 1 (25-01-2024)

Identifiants

Citer

Hai-Dang Dau, Nicolas Chopin. Waste-Free Sequential Monte Carlo. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 2022, 84 (1), pp.114-148. ⟨10.1111/rssb.12475⟩. ⟨hal-04273259⟩
29 Consultations
22 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

More