Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures - Archive ouverte HAL
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail (Working Paper) Année : 2023

Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures

Résumé

This paper studies the behavioral and socio-demographic determinants of reported compliance with prophylactic measures against COVID-19: barrier gestures, lockdown restrictions and mask wearing. The study contrasts two types of measures for behavioral determinants: experimentally elicited preferences (risk tolerance, time preferences, social value orientation and cooperativeness) and stated preferences (risk tolerance, time preferences, and the GSS trust question). Data were collected from a representative sample of the metropolitan French adult population (N=1154) surveyed during the first lockdown in May 2020, and the experimental tasks were carried out on-line. The in-sample and out-of-sample predictive power of several regression models - which vary in the set of variables that they include - are studied and compared. Overall, we find that stated preferences are better predictors of compliance with these prophylactic measures than preferences elicited through incentivized experiments: self-reported level of risk, patience and trust are predicting compliance, while elicited measures of risk-aversion, patience, cooperation and prosociality did not.
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Dates et versions

hal-04192470 , version 1 (27-09-2023)
hal-04192470 , version 2 (28-09-2023)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-04192470 , version 1

Citer

Ismaël Rafaï, Thierry Blayac, Dimitri Dubois, Sébastien Duchêne, Phu Nguyen-Van, et al.. Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures. 2023. ⟨hal-04192470v1⟩
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