Cyclic monitoring of the Remaining Useful Life RUL for the Bearing fault prognosis
Résumé
Over the last decades, Prognostics has played a dominant role in preventive maintenance in
manufacturing. It usually involves estimating the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) or the Time to Failure (TTF)
of mechanical systems. In Prognosis, the analysis could often be purely data-driven (Trend Analysis). It
requires a vast data set and offers the double benefit of being both applicable in many systems and being
relatively precise. In this paper, we implemented the « Threshold Data » approach, considering the limited
amount of run-to-failure data and the fact that the Bearings’ features are suitable for a degradation model
creation. Moreover, this study sheds light on Cyclic Prediction Method, intending to prove that cyclic
monitoring could also estimate the RUL for the bearing fault with the integrity of data, and precisely track
the degradation. Firstly, different filters are compared: Simple Moving Average (SMA), Cumulative Moving
Average (CMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA). After that, both the Principal Component
Analysis (PCA) and Model Fitting are deployed in order to construct a degradation model and fit the
exponential function to the last n data. Finally, using the selected indicators, we managed to estimate the
RUL of the bearing cyclically, thus exhibiting accurate predictions throughout each phase of its life till
failure
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