Bioclimatic context of species' populations determines community stability
Résumé
Aim: It is important to understand the factors affecting community stability because
ecosystem function is increasingly at risk from biodiversity loss. Here, we evaluate
how a key factor, the position of local environmental conditions within the thermal
range of the species, influences the stability of butterfly communities at a continental
scale.
Location: Spain, UK and Finland.
Time period: 1999–2017.
Major taxa studied: Butterflies.
Methods: We tested the following hypotheses about how species responses to temperature
anomalies aggregate to influence stability: Hypothesis 1, species have contrasting
responses to local temperature anomalies at opposing edges of their thermal
range; hypothesis 2, communities with central thermal range positions have higher
community stability; and the impacts of thermal range position on community stability
are driven by hypothesis 3, population asynchrony, or hypothesis 4, additive population
stability. Data were analysed at 876 sites for 157 species.
Results: We found some support for hypothesis 1, because there were interactions between
thermal range and response to temperature anomalies such that species at different
range edges could provide weak compensatory dynamics. However, responses
were nonlinear, suggesting strong declines with extreme anomalies, particularly at
the hot range edge. Hypothesis 2 was supported in part, because community stability
increased with central thermal range positions and declined at the edges, after
accounting for species richness and community abundance. Thermal range position
was weakly correlated with asynchrony (hypothesis 3) and population stability (hypothesis
4), although species richness and population abundance had larger impacts.
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