On the post mitigation impact risk assessment of possible targets for an asteroid deflection demonstration mission in the NEOShield project. - Archive ouverte HAL
Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2014

On the post mitigation impact risk assessment of possible targets for an asteroid deflection demonstration mission in the NEOShield project.

Résumé

Mankind believes to have the capabilities to avert potentially disastrous asteroid impacts. Yet, only the realization of a mitigation demonstration mission can confirm such a claim. The NEOShield project, an international collaboration under European leadership, aims to draw a comprehensive picture of the scientific as well as technical requirements to such an endeavor. One of the top priorities of such a demonstration mission is, of course, that a previously harmless target asteroid shall not be turned into a potentially hazardous object. Given the inherently large uncertainties in an asteroid's physical parameters, as well as the additional uncertainties introduced during the deflection attempt, an in depth analysis of the change in asteroid impact probabilities after a deflection event becomes necessary. We present a post mitigation impact risk analysis of a list of potential deflection test missions and discuss the influence of orbital, physical and mitigation induced uncertainties.
Fichier non déposé

Dates et versions

hal-03724557 , version 1 (15-07-2022)

Identifiants

Citer

Siegfried Eggl. On the post mitigation impact risk assessment of possible targets for an asteroid deflection demonstration mission in the NEOShield project.. AAS/Division of Dynamical Astronomy Meeting #45, Apr 2014, Philadelphie, Pennsylvanie, United States. ⟨hal-03724557⟩
6 Consultations
0 Téléchargements

Partager

More