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Article Dans Une Revue Environment and Development Economics Année : 2021

The impact of the COVID-19 enforced lockdown and fiscal package on the South African economy and environment: a preliminary analysis

Résumé

Abstract This paper offers a quantitative assessment of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic-induced lockdown and government fiscal plan, containing ‘green’ elements on the economy and the environment of South Africa. The analysis uses a dynamic computable general equilibrium model operationalised using a social accounting matrix coupled with a greenhouse gas balance and emissions data. We find that while the economy is harshly impacted by the pandemic in the short term, the government fiscal package ameliorates and cushions the negative effects on poor households. Importantly, an adaptation of the fiscal package towards a ‘greener’ policy achieves the same economic outcome and reduces unemployment. Carbon dioxide emissions decrease in the short run due to economic slowdown. This improvement persists until 2030. These results can be used as decision support for policy makers on how to orient the post COVID-19 policies to be pro-poor and pro-environment, and thus, ‘build back better and fairer’.
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Dates et versions

hal-03663696 , version 1 (10-05-2022)

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Margaret Chitiga-Mabugu, Martin Henseler, Ramos Mabugu, Helene Maisonnave. The impact of the COVID-19 enforced lockdown and fiscal package on the South African economy and environment: a preliminary analysis. Environment and Development Economics, 2021, pp.1-14. ⟨10.1017/S1355770X21000243⟩. ⟨hal-03663696⟩
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