Integrating Social Sciences to Mitigate Against Covid - Archive ouverte HAL
Chapitre D'ouvrage Année : 2022

Integrating Social Sciences to Mitigate Against Covid

Résumé

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has led to the implementation of unprecedented public health intervention measures, not least the lockdown of countries worldwide. In our hyperconnected world exemplified by social media, it is now possible to derive quantitative measures of human mobilities at useful spatial scales. In this chapter we discuss how the use of Facebook data enables us not only to capture the impact of lockdown on human mobility but also to assess how changes in mobility contribute to the spread of the virus. By performing a comparative analysis across four countries of differing levels of lockdown—Sweden, US, France and Colombia—we show that mobility contributes a substantial amount to the spread of the disease. This contribution is strongest when the local number of cases is low, but, importantly, is maintained even when the virus is widespread. Current epidemiological models do not take into account such mobility patterns and yet there exists a developed theoretical framework within which mobility can be included. Inclusion of mobility data would allow public health authorities to focus on highly connected hubs of infection and, because mobility patterns are relatively stable over time, would also enable forecasting of how the spread of this or another novel virus is going to occur. Anticipating epidemics and their spread is key for developing suitable but targeted intervention strategies and avoiding draconian lockdowns that are so harmful to the economy.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
Paul2022_Chapter_IntegratingSocialSciencesToMit.pdf (649.76 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Publication financée par une institution

Dates et versions

hal-03478099 , version 1 (26-01-2022)

Licence

Identifiants

Citer

Richard E. Paul, Olivier Telle, Samuel Benkimoun. Integrating Social Sciences to Mitigate Against Covid. Makoto Yano; Fumihiko Matsuda; Anavaj Sakuntabhai; Shigeru Hirota. Socio-Life Science and the COVID-19 Outbreak. Public Health and Public Policy, Springer Singapour, pp.47-71, 2022, Economics, Law, and Institutions in Asia Pacific, 978-981-16-5729-0. ⟨10.1007/978-981-16-5727-6_3⟩. ⟨hal-03478099⟩
303 Consultations
99 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

More