AI as statistical methods for imperfect theories - Archive ouverte HAL
Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2021

AI as statistical methods for imperfect theories

Résumé

Science has progressed by reasoning on what models could not predict because they were missing important ingredients. And yet without correct models, standard statistical methods for scientific evidence are not sound. Here, I argue that machine-learning methodology provides solutions to ground reasoning about empirically evidence more on models' predictions, and less on their ingredients. Science uses false models as means for truer theory [Wimsatt, 1987]. How can statistical tools ground valid reasoning on empirical evidence without true models? Generalization is the key. Here I develop the argument that, unlike popular belief, reasoning from black-box models is good for science, because it builds on the validity of inferences on prediction of observables.
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Dates et versions

hal-03474791 , version 1 (10-12-2021)
hal-03474791 , version 2 (13-12-2021)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-03474791 , version 1

Citer

Gaël Varoquaux. AI as statistical methods for imperfect theories. NeurIPS 2021 - 35th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems. Workshop: AI for Science, Dec 2021, Virtual, France. ⟨hal-03474791v1⟩
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