France and Nigeria : two divergent demographic trajectories - Archive ouverte HAL Accéder directement au contenu
Chapitre D'ouvrage Année : 2019

France and Nigeria : two divergent demographic trajectories

Résumé

The study compares the demographic transitions (fertility and mortality) in France and in Nigeria, and their long term consequences for population growth and population size.The two countries appear at both ends of the range of situations in demographic transitions : France with an early and slow decline in mortality and fertility, outstanding even by European standards, Nigeria with a late and rapid decline in mortality along with a late and slow fertility decline, outstanding even by African standards. As a result, the population of Nigeria was multiplied by 14 since 1900, whereas that of France only increased by 61%. The population density by area of agricultural land already exceeds that of France, and is likely to be multiplied by a factor of 4 in the 21st century if population growth continues along the same trend. The paper discusses the determinants of fertility and mortality changes and their expected demographic consequences in the long run.

Mots clés

Fichier non déposé

Dates et versions

hal-03454003 , version 1 (29-11-2021)

Identifiants

Citer

Michel Garenne. France and Nigeria : two divergent demographic trajectories. Ezebunwa Nwokocha, E. (ed.); Fayehun, O. (ed.). Concise demography of Nigeria, BumbleBee, pp.246-267, 2019, 978-978-56511-5-7. ⟨hal-03454003⟩
55 Consultations
0 Téléchargements

Partager

Gmail Mastodon Facebook X LinkedIn More