Data driven uncertainty quantification in macroscopic traffic flow models
Résumé
We propose a Bayesian approach for parameter uncertainty quantification in macroscopic traffic flow models from cross-sectional data. A bias term is introduced and modeled as a Gaussian process to account for the traffic flow models limitations. We validate the results comparing the error metrics of both first and second order models, showing that second order models globally perform better in reconstructing traffic quantities of interest.
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