Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems: The Eur-Agri-SSPs - Archive ouverte HAL Accéder directement au contenu
Article Dans Une Revue Global Environmental Change Année : 2020

Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems: The Eur-Agri-SSPs

Ian Holman
  • Fonction : Auteur

Résumé

Scenarios describe plausible and internally consistent views of the future. They can be used by scientists, pol-icymakers and entrepreneurs to explore the challenges of global environmental change given an appropriate level of spatial and sectoral detail and systematic development. We followed a nine-step protocol to extend and enrich a set of global scenarios-the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)-providing regional and sectoral detail for European agriculture and food systems using a one-to-one nesting participatory approach. The resulting five Eur-Agri-SSPs are titled (1) Agriculture on sustainable paths, (2) Agriculture on established paths, (3) Agriculture on separated paths, (4) Agriculture on unequal paths, and (5) Agriculture on high-tech paths. They describe alternative plausible qualitative evolutions of multiple drivers of particular importance and high uncertainty for European agriculture and food systems. The added value of the protocol-based storyline development process lies in the conceptual and methodological transparency and rigor; the stakeholder driven selection of the storyline elements; and consistency checks within and between the storylines. Compared to the global SSPs, the five Eur-Agri-SSPs provide rich thematic and regional details and are thus a solid basis for integrated assessments of agriculture and food systems and their response to future socioeconomic and environmental changes.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
Global Env Change_2020.pdf (809.42 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine : Fichiers éditeurs autorisés sur une archive ouverte
Loading...

Dates et versions

hal-02958014 , version 1 (05-10-2020)

Licence

Paternité

Identifiants

Citer

Hermine Mitter, Anja-K Techen, Franz Sinabell, Katharina Helming, Erwin Schmid, et al.. Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems: The Eur-Agri-SSPs. Global Environmental Change, 2020, 65, pp.1-13. ⟨10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102159⟩. ⟨hal-02958014⟩
114 Consultations
90 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More