A bayesian inference procedure based on inverse dispersion modelling for source term estimation in built-up environments - Archive ouverte HAL
Article Dans Une Revue Atmospheric Environment Année : 2020

A bayesian inference procedure based on inverse dispersion modelling for source term estimation in built-up environments

Patrick Armand
Christophe Duchenne

Résumé

In atmospheric physics, reconstructing a pollution source is a challenging and important question. It provides better input parameters to dispersion models, and gives useful information to first-responder teams in case of an accidental toxic release. Various methods already exist, but using them requires an important amount of computational resources, especially when the accuracy of the dispersion model increases which is necessary in complex built-up environments. In this paper, a Bayesian probabilistic approach to estimate the location and the temporal emission profile of a pointwise source is proposed. More precisely, an Adaptive Multiple Importance Sampling (AMIS) algorithm is considered and enhanced by an efficient use of a Lagrangian Particle Dispersion Model (LPDM) in backward mode. Twin experiments empirically demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed inference strategy in very complex cases.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
S1352231020304659.pdf (459.1 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

hal-02933058 , version 1 (23-08-2022)

Licence

Identifiants

Citer

François Septier, Patrick Armand, Christophe Duchenne. A bayesian inference procedure based on inverse dispersion modelling for source term estimation in built-up environments. Atmospheric Environment, 2020, 242, ⟨10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117733⟩. ⟨hal-02933058⟩
122 Consultations
58 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

More