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Article Dans Une Revue Medical University Année : 2018

Impact of population ageing on hospital consumption and medical demography in metropolitan France: The example of obstetricians

Répercussion du vieillissement de la population sur la consommation hospitalière et sur la démographie médicale dans les territoires en France métropolitaine : exemple des obstétriciens

Влияние старения населения на потребление медицинских услуг и медицинскую демографию на территории континентальной Франции на примере акушеров-гинекологов.

Résumé

The challenges of medical demography have become a major issue today in France, mainly because of the conjunction of two phenomena. Namely, a massive retirement of the "baby boom" generation and a delay in the medical training induced by the "numerus clausus" that had not anticipated that phenomenon. Unfortunately, the repercussion of the population ageing on hospital consumption and consequently on medical demography is very poorly integrated into the calculation and implementation of the medical professions' numerus clausus in 2010. Thus we suggest a model that not only identifi es the effective demand for care on operational geographical scale, namely, the health territory, but that also makes a projection of healthcare consumption based on the age of population of each "health territory" in a T+1 future. To illustrate this model, we take as example the obstetricians' activity in France.
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hal-02870760 , version 1 (16-06-2020)

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Katsiaryna Kananovich, Jean-Marc Macé, E Yuryeva. Impact of population ageing on hospital consumption and medical demography in metropolitan France: The example of obstetricians. Medical University, 2018, 1 (1), ⟨10.2478/medu-2018-0004⟩. ⟨hal-02870760⟩
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