Conditional probability as a decision-making tool: A didactic sequence - Archive ouverte HAL
Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2017

Conditional probability as a decision-making tool: A didactic sequence

Raimundo Elicer
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Résumé

Conditional probability arises as a tool for analyzing a strategy for decision-making that molds to new conditions. From that point of view, an introductory sequence which utilizes diachronic games is designed and analyzed under the framework of didactical engineering, bringing conditional probability into play as a decision-making tool. It can be observed that students tend to base their decisions on heuristics and experiential considerations, and do not see the need for a proper calculation of theoretical probabilities. At most, they use experimentation as a tool, not computing probabilities based on relative frequencies, but comparing absolute frequencies.
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Dates et versions

hal-01927857 , version 1 (20-11-2018)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-01927857 , version 1

Citer

Raimundo Elicer, Eduardo Carrasco. Conditional probability as a decision-making tool: A didactic sequence. CERME 10, Feb 2017, Dublin, Ireland. ⟨hal-01927857⟩

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