Asymptotic properties of quasi-maximum likelihood estimators in observation-driven time series models - Archive ouverte HAL
Article Dans Une Revue Electronic Journal of Statistics Année : 2017

Asymptotic properties of quasi-maximum likelihood estimators in observation-driven time series models

Résumé

We study a general class of quasi-maximum likelihood estimators for observation-driven time series models. Our main focus is on models related to the exponential family of distributions like Poisson based models for count time series or duration models. However, the proposed approach is more general and covers a variety of time series models including the ordinary GARCH model which has been studied extensively in the literature. We provide general conditions under which quasi-maximum likelihood estimators can be analyzed for this class of time series models and we prove that these estimators are consistent and asymptotically normally distributed regardless of the true data generating process. We illustrate our results using classical examples of quasi-maximum likelihood estimation including standard GARCH models, duration models, Poisson type autoregressions and ARMA models with GARCH errors. Our contribution unifies the existing theory and gives conditions for proving consistency and asymptotic normality in a variety of situations

Dates et versions

hal-01575698 , version 1 (21-08-2017)

Identifiants

Citer

Randal Douc, Konstantinos Fokianos, Éric Moulines. Asymptotic properties of quasi-maximum likelihood estimators in observation-driven time series models. Electronic Journal of Statistics , 2017, 11 (2), pp.2707 - 2740. ⟨10.1214/17-EJS1299⟩. ⟨hal-01575698⟩
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