Pricing CAC 40 Index Options with Stochastic Volatility
Résumé
This paper fulfills the lack of option pricing empirical studies devoted
to the French market and is also the first paper that brings a comparison between the Heston
(1993) closed-form solution model and the Hull and White (1988) model, built in a series
expansion form. The empirical study is carried out on French PXL European call options
written on the CAC 40 index during the first half of 2001. We discuss calibration and
results obtained from the out-of-sample pricing using analysis in cross-section. We also
discuss the empirical dynamic of the skew. We found that misprising was globally decreasing
with maturity and low strike prices. We found that both models offered comparable pricing
performance except for the short-term contracts and deep-out-the-money calls where the Hull
and White (1988) model failed much more that the Heston (1993) model. To fit the implied
volatility dynamic, the Heston (1993) model allows smile patterns to transform into skew
patterns while the Hull and White (1988) model allows only for changes in the skew slope
sign. However, we show that this is linked with the values of the structural parameters.