We define a call-by-value variant of Gödel 's System T with references, and equip it with a linear dependent type and effect system, called d that can estimate the complexity of programs, as a function of the size of their inputs. We prove that the type system is intentionally sound, in the sense that it over-approximates the complexity of executing the programs on a variant of the CEK abstract machine. Moreover, we define a sound and complete type inference algorithm which critically exploits the subrecursive nature of d Finally, we demonstrate the usefulness of d for analyzing the complexity of cryptographic reductions by providing an upper bound for the constructed adversary of the Goldreich-Levin theorem.