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Article Dans Une Revue Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena Année : 2015

On extreme events for non-spatial and spatial branching Brownian motions

Résumé

We study the impact on shape parameters of an underlying Bienaymé-Galton-Watson branching process (height, width and first hitting time), of having a non-spatial branching mechanism with infinite variance. Aiming at providing a comparative study of the spread of an epidemics whose dynamics is given by the modulus of a branching Brownian motion (BBM) we then consider spatial branching processes in dimension d, not necessarily integer. The underlying branching mechanism is then either a binary branching model or one presenting infinite variance. In particular we evaluate the chance p(x) of being hit if the epidemics started away at distance x. We compute the large x tail probabilities of this event, both when the branching mechanism is regular and when it exhibits very large fluctuations.
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Dates et versions

hal-00950655 , version 1 (21-02-2014)
hal-00950655 , version 2 (10-02-2015)

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Jean Avan, Nicolas Grosjean, Thierry Huillet. On extreme events for non-spatial and spatial branching Brownian motions. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2015, 298, pp.13-20. ⟨10.1016/j.physd.2015.01.008⟩. ⟨hal-00950655v2⟩
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