Mean Reversion with a Variance Threshold - Archive ouverte HAL
Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2013

Mean Reversion with a Variance Threshold

Résumé

Starting from a multivariate data set, we study several techniques to isolate affine combinations of the variables with a maximum amount of mean reversion, while constraining the variance to be larger than a given threshold. We show that many of the optimization problems arising in this context can be solved exactly using semidefinite programming and some variant of the S-lemma. In finance, these methods are used to isolate statistical arbitrage opportunities, i.e. mean reverting portfolios with enough variance to overcome market friction. In a more general setting, mean reversion and its generalizations are also used as a proxy for stationarity, while variance simply measures signal strength.
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Dates et versions

hal-00939566 , version 1 (30-01-2014)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-00939566 , version 1

Citer

Marco Cuturi, Alexandre d'Aspremont. Mean Reversion with a Variance Threshold. International Conference on Machine Learning, Jun 2013, United States. pp.271-279. ⟨hal-00939566⟩
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