Conditional hitting time estimation in a nonlinear filtering model by the Brownian bridge method - Archive ouverte HAL
Article Dans Une Revue Stochastics: An International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes Année : 2015

Conditional hitting time estimation in a nonlinear filtering model by the Brownian bridge method

Résumé

The model consists of a signal process $X$ which is a general Brownian diffusion process and an observation process $Y$, also a diffusion process, which is supposed to be correlated to the signal process. We suppose that the process $Y$ is observed from time $0$ to $s>0$ at discrete times and aim to estimate, conditionally on these observations, the probability that the non-observed process $X$ crosses a fixed barrier after a given time $t>s$. We formulate this problem as a usual nonlinear filtering problem and use optimal quantization and Monte Carlo simulations techniques to estimate the involved quantities.
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Dates et versions

hal-00753887 , version 1 (19-11-2012)

Identifiants

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Abass Sagna, Christophe Profeta. Conditional hitting time estimation in a nonlinear filtering model by the Brownian bridge method. Stochastics: An International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes, 2015, 87 (1), pp.112-141. ⟨hal-00753887⟩
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