Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2007

Migration model of various socio-demographic Romanian categories

Résumé

Globalizing and internationalizing markets generates new migration attitudes, an increased fluidity of the regional movements, in which temporary migration phenomena have got a special importance. This paper proposes a framework to capture how perceived migration opportunities and preferences of people are correlated via a concept that we called “affinity” for a destination country. The basic idea is that the decision-making process of a potential migrant is motivated by the maximization of this affinity. The affinity, a fuzzy concept, is defined like a function of the accessibility, the attractiveness and the expected duration of visit in a country. A questionnaire based on stated-preferences is elaborated using Design of Experiments method and collected preferences done by a score function are used to model the accessibility and the attractiveness of a foreign country (e.g. for Romania countries from West Europe). Extreme values of accessibility and attractiveness are used to define the fuzzy set variables. A system of rules is defined by using the experience of the experts in migration and a classification of destinations based on affinity values can be done for each socio-demographic category. By using the principle of the gravity theory, a correlation may be done between the flows distribution in Europe and the number of potential migrants per category

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Dates et versions

hal-00361060 , version 1 (13-02-2009)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-00361060 , version 1

Citer

Catalin Popescu, Jean-Marie Boussier, Luminita Ion, A. Mitu, C. Georgescu, et al.. Migration model of various socio-demographic Romanian categories. 10th Toulon-Verona Conference on Excellence in Services, Sep 2007, Thessaloniki, Greece. pp.n.a. ⟨hal-00361060⟩

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