Maximum ground surface motion in probalistic seismic hazard analyses
Résumé
The increasing use of probalistic seismic hazard assessment for critical facilities leads to the consideration of earthquake scenarios with a probality of occurrence as low as 10^-7 per year. For such low probabilities the computed ground accelerations, based on extrapolations of statistical ground motion prediction relationships, may reach values as high as severals g's, which poses tremendous difficulties for earthquake-resistant design.