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Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2024

Does Urbanization Cause Crime? Evidence from Rural-Urban Migration in South Africa

Résumé

We study the impact of urbanization driven by internal migration on crime in South Africa. We create a new dataset that combines yearly data on crime and urban population density at the municipality level from 2011 to 2018. We exploit exogenous variations in rural-urban migration induced by climate shocks at origin for identification. We show that higher urban population density leads to a reduction in pecuniary crime rate but has no effect on non-pecuniary crime rate. We highlight two mechanisms explaining this negative effect: a change in population composition and a social network effect.
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Dates et versions

halshs-04390026 , version 1 (12-01-2024)

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  • HAL Id : halshs-04390026 , version 1

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Nelly Exbrayat, Victor Stephane. Does Urbanization Cause Crime? Evidence from Rural-Urban Migration in South Africa. 2024. ⟨halshs-04390026⟩
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