Multivariate Dynamic Probit Models: An Application to Financial Crises Mutation - Archive ouverte HAL
Preprints, Working Papers, ... Year : 2012

Multivariate Dynamic Probit Models: An Application to Financial Crises Mutation

Abstract

In this paper we propose a multivariate dynamic probit model. Our model can be considered as a non-linear VAR model for the latent variables associated with correlated binary time-series data. To estimate it, we implement an exact maximum-likelihood approach, hence providing a solution to the problem generally encountered in the formulation of multivariate probit models. Our framework allows us to apprehend dynamics and causality in several ways. Furthermore, we propose an impulse-response analysis for such models. An empirical application on three nancial crises is nally proposed.
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Dates and versions

halshs-00630036 , version 1 (07-10-2011)
halshs-00630036 , version 2 (17-07-2012)

Identifiers

  • HAL Id : halshs-00630036 , version 2

Cite

Elena-Ivona Dumitrescu, Bertrand Candelon, Christophe Hurlin, Franz C. Palm. Multivariate Dynamic Probit Models: An Application to Financial Crises Mutation. 2012. ⟨halshs-00630036v2⟩
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