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Article Dans Une Revue Tropical Medicine and International Health Année : 2008

Dynamics of dengue epidemics in urban contexts

Résumé

Dengue, similar to other arboviral diseases, exhibits complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Even at town or village level, individual-based spatially explicit models are required to correctly reproduce epidemic curves. This makes modelling at the regional level (province, country or continent) very difficult and cumbersome. We propose here a first step to build a hierarchized model by constructing a simple analytical expression which reproduces the model output from macroscopic parameters describing each 'village'. It also turns out to be a good approximation of real urban epidermic outbreaks. Subsequently, a regional model could be built by coupling these equations on a lattice.

Dates et versions

halsde-00525610 , version 1 (12-10-2010)

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P. Pongsumpun, D. Garcia Lopez, Charly Favier, L. Torres, J. Llosa, et al.. Dynamics of dengue epidemics in urban contexts. Tropical Medicine and International Health, 2008, 13 (9), pp.1180-1187. ⟨10.1111/j.1365-3156.2008.02124.x⟩. ⟨halsde-00525610⟩
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