Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2024

Ultra Large Container Vessels (ULCV) Strategies: Polarization in Progress (2020, 2022 and 2024)

Résumé

It proposes elements of analysis relating to the strategic positioning of the Global Carriers. These operators are approached from the angle of their own choices of ports of call but also according to the choices made by their competitors and/or commercial partners. In some cases, those strategies could potentially turn out to be non – spatialized without any significant correlations with hinterlands served from the major ports of call. Based on the AIS signals emitted by giant container ships over three years, 2020, 2022 and 2024, we plan to study the restructuring of the world container network about the concentration of transport supply on the main trades. To do this, we consider ships of more than 12500EVP which structure the world container network. To do this, we will use various analysis methods derived from graph theory as well as an elementary multivariate approach and mapping. In conjunction with the use of tools and measures derived from graph theory, we propose, in a second phase, an analysis relating directly to the port calls made by the motherships operating the major containerised shipping services. We would like to discern the different strategic configurations for all the alliances over the three years, which could result in: - geographical rationalization of ports of call within an alliance, - localised competition in certain ports, where there would be strong competition between operators from alliances that over-subsidize them, - partial withdrawal from or gradual abandonment of certain ports, leading to a change in maritime access to certain markets over the period, which could even result in completed withdrawal, - a rationalized distribution of ports of call between the alliances (and therefore market sharing) based on real operational complementarity between the operators. The gigantic size of these ships is leading to a spatial polarisation of the market in a reduced number of ports: the ultra (ultimate) hubs. A smaller number of ports would be served by the global carriers' mother ships on each seaboard. Some current hub ports would be downgraded to regional sub-hubs. We could see a (re)distribution of shortsea shipping (feedering) with larger vessels from cascading. Future research should then focus on the spatial analysis of the interconnection between the ULCC services and feeder services.

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Dates et versions

hal-05098823 , version 1 (05-06-2025)

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  • HAL Id : hal-05098823 , version 1

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Olivier Joly, Ronan Kerbiriou. Ultra Large Container Vessels (ULCV) Strategies: Polarization in Progress (2020, 2022 and 2024). SIG 2 conference 2025, University of Antwerp, May 2025, Antwep, Belgium. ⟨hal-05098823⟩
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