Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2020

Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Wood Resources Towards 2050 in two Contrasted Bioclimatic Regions in France

Léa Dieckhoff
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Warren Daniel
Thomas Pourbaix
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Marie-Laure Rabot-Querci
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Résumé

The development of wood-based collective and industrial energy systems has experienced a significant increase since the end of the 90’s in France, with almost 7,000 power and heating plants currently in operation. Because these systems are built to deliver energy over a long period, it is relevant to assess, for two different bioclimatic regions, the potential impacts of global warming on three tree species that are representative of French forests and account for a large part of wood energy supply. The assessment of the distribution of suitable areas for these species in 2050, by using the IPCC RCP6.0 scenario, shows a potential decrease of suitable areas. The assessment of the Net Primary Productivity (NPP) underlines a potential decrease of NPP for the majority of plots in 2050, and an increase of this parameter in mountainous areas. These results point out the need to assess the potential impacts of climate change on the fitness and growth of tree species by 2050, in order to help stakeholders to adopt resilient biomass supply strategies.

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Dates et versions

hal-04787484 , version 1 (17-11-2024)

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Emmanuel Garbolino, Léa Dieckhoff, Warren Daniel, Thomas Pourbaix, Marie-Laure Rabot-Querci. Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Wood Resources Towards 2050 in two Contrasted Bioclimatic Regions in France. Bioeconomy's role in the post-pandemic economic recovery, EUBCE, 2020, Online, France. ⟨10.5071/28thEUBCE2020-1AO.7.1⟩. ⟨hal-04787484⟩
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