Resolving the slip-rate inconsistency of the northern Dead Sea fault - Archive ouverte HAL
Article Dans Une Revue Science Advances Année : 2024

Resolving the slip-rate inconsistency of the northern Dead Sea fault

Shaozhuo Liu
Zhangfeng Ma
Nicolás Castro-Perdomo
Simone Cesca
Yann Klinger

Résumé

Reported fault slip rates, a key quantity for earthquake hazard and risk analyses, have been inconsistent for the northern Dead Sea fault (DSF). Studies of offset geological and archeological structures suggest a slip rate of 4 to 6 millimeters per year, consistent with the southern DSF, whereas geodetic slip-rate estimates are only 2 to 3 millimeters per year. To resolve this inconsistency and overcome limited access to the northern DSF in Syria, we here use burst-overlap interferometric time-series analysis of satellite radar images to provide an independent slip-rate estimate of ~2.8 millimeters per year. We also show that the high geologic slip rate could, by chance, be inflated by earthquake clustering and suggest that the slip-rate decrease from the southern to northern DSF can be explained by splay faults and diffuse offshore deformation. These results suggest a microplate west of the northern DSF and a lower earthquake hazard for that part of the fault.
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hal-04723588 , version 1 (08-10-2024)

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Xing Li, Sigurjón Jónsson, Shaozhuo Liu, Zhangfeng Ma, Nicolás Castro-Perdomo, et al.. Resolving the slip-rate inconsistency of the northern Dead Sea fault. Science Advances , 2024, 10 (11), ⟨10.1126/sciadv.adj8408⟩. ⟨hal-04723588⟩
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