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Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2023

Employment Implication of Coal Phase-Out: Revealing Transition Risks through Downscaling

Résumé

This study addresses the need to refine the assessment of employment impacts associated with coal phase-out in transition scenarios. We use a multi-sectoral macroeconomic Integrated Assessment Model enhanced by incorporating detailed data to improve productivity expectations in the coal sector. We also developed a sub-national economies dynamics module enabling the results to be scaled down, which provides qualitatively new information. The analysis quantifies job losses and their timing, highlighting regional disparities and vulnerability. The findings underscore the importance of integrating support policies for affected employees into carbon neutrality programs in order to enhance the feasibility and acceptance of transition pathways.
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Dates et versions

hal-04477762 , version 1 (26-02-2024)

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  • HAL Id : hal-04477762 , version 1

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Thomas Le Gallic, Augustin Danneaux, Julien Lefèvre. Employment Implication of Coal Phase-Out: Revealing Transition Risks through Downscaling. Sixteenth IAMC (Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium ) Annual Meeting 2023, Nov 2023, Venice, Italy. ⟨hal-04477762⟩
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