Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures - Archive ouverte HAL Accéder directement au contenu
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2023

Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures

Ismaël Rafaï
Thierry Blayac
  • Fonction : Auteur
Dimitri Dubois
  • Fonction : Auteur
Sebastien Duchene
  • Fonction : Auteur
Phu Nguyen-Van
Bruno Ventelou
Marc Willinger
  • Fonction : Auteur

Résumé

This paper studies the behavioral and socio-demographic determinants of reported compliance with prophylactic measures against COVID-19: barrier gestures, lockdown restrictions and mask wearing. The study contrasts two types of measures for behavioral determinants: experimentally elicited preferences (risk tolerance, time preferences, social value orientation and cooperativeness) and stated preferences (risk tolerance, time preferences, and the GSS trust question). Data were collected from a representative sample of the metropolitan French adult population (N=1154) surveyed during the first lockdown in May 2020, and the experimental tasks were carried out on-line. The in-sample and out-of-sample predictive power of several regression models - which vary in the set of variables that they include - are studied and compared. Overall, we find that stated preferences are better predictors of compliance with these prophylactic measures than preferences elicited through incentivized experiments: self-reported level of risk, patience and trust are predicting compliance, while elicited measures of risk-aversion, patience, cooperation and prosociality did not.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
WP_EcoX_2023-27.pdf (1.35 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origine : Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

hal-04219784 , version 1 (27-09-2023)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-04219784 , version 1

Citer

Ismaël Rafaï, Thierry Blayac, Dimitri Dubois, Sebastien Duchene, Phu Nguyen-Van, et al.. Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures. 2023. ⟨hal-04219784⟩
9 Consultations
14 Téléchargements

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More