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                <title xml:lang="en">Assessment of the DRIAS climate models sensibility over the Brittany and Pays de Loire regions of France</title>
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                <term xml:lang="en">West of France</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Modèles climatiques régionaux</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Différences pluviométriques et thermiques</term>
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              <p>Pour les études régionales d’impacts du changement climatique, outre le choix des scénarios d’émissions de gaz à effet de serre et des échéances temporelles, celui des modèles climatiques pose souvent questions, comme cela a été le cas dans le cadre de projets portant sur les impacts du changement climatique sur l’agriculture en régions Bretagne et Pays de la Loire. Les données issues de dix modèles climatiques du jeu DRIAS 2020 ont été comparées aux données historiques de la base SAFRAN pour identifier les modèles qui réchauffent et humidifient le plus ou le moins sur l’espace de ces deux régions. Des différences climatiques régionales engendrées par trois modèles contrastés sont illustrées, à titre d’exemple, pour l’horizon lointain 2071-2100 sous conditions RCP8.5 avec des cartes des écarts en termes de température annuelle et les cartes de cumuls pluviométriques pour la saison hivernale.</p>
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