A Newly Developed Integrative Bio-Inspired Artificial Intelligence Model for Wind Speed Prediction - Archive ouverte HAL Accéder directement au contenu
Article Dans Une Revue IEEE Access Année : 2020

A Newly Developed Integrative Bio-Inspired Artificial Intelligence Model for Wind Speed Prediction

Hai Tao
Sinan Salih
Mandeep Kaur Saggi
Esmaeel Dodangeh
Nadhir Al-Ansari
Zaher Mundher Yaseen
Shamsuddin Shahid

Résumé

Accurate wind speed (WS) modelling is crucial for optimal utilization of wind energy. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) techniques, generally used for WS modelling are not only less cost-effective but also poor in predicting in shorter time horizon. Novel WS prediction models based on the multivariate empirical mode decomposition (MEMD), random forest (RF) and Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) were constructed in this paper better accuracy in WS prediction. Particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) was employed to optimize the parameters of the hybridized MEMD model with RF (MEMD-PSO-RF) and KRR (MEMD-PSO-KRR) models. Obtained results were compared to those of the standalone RF and KRR models. The proposed methodology is applied for monthly WS prediction at meteorological stations of Iraq, Baghdad (Station1) and Mosul (Station2) for the period 1977-2013. Results showed higher accuracy of MEMD-PSO-RF model in predicting WS at both stations with a correlation coefficient (r) of 0.972 and r = 0.971 during testing phase at Station1 and Station2, respectively. The MEMD-PSO-KRR was found as the second most accurate model followed by Standalone RF and KRR, but all showed a competitive performance to the MEMD-PSO-RF model. The outcomes of this work indicated that the MEMD-PSO-RF model has a remarkable performance in predicting WS and can be considered for practical applications.
Fichier non déposé

Dates et versions

hal-03996054 , version 1 (19-02-2023)

Licence

Paternité - Pas d'utilisation commerciale - Pas de modification

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-03996054 , version 1

Citer

Hai Tao, Sinan Salih, Mandeep Kaur Saggi, Esmaeel Dodangeh, Cyril Voyant, et al.. A Newly Developed Integrative Bio-Inspired Artificial Intelligence Model for Wind Speed Prediction. IEEE Access, 2020, 8, pp.83347-83358. ⟨hal-03996054⟩
14 Consultations
0 Téléchargements

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More