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Article Dans Une Revue International Economics Année : 2022

Inflation and unemployment, new insights during the EMU accession

Résumé

In the process of EU integration, toward the Eurozone (EA) accession, we try to understand, how changes in exchange rate regimes, attributed to the switch through the ERM-II and to the EA accession, influence the dynamic between inflation and unemployment, that is, swings on the Phillips curve coefficient. We look at a panel of EA countries, before and after their EA entry, over the last twenty years, using a recent work from McLeay and Tenreyro (2020), to clarify the impact of losing the monetary autonomy. Accession to the Eurozone leads to a non-significant inflation/unemployment relationship. We link this result to the fact that the small economies of the Eurozone do not have sufficient weight to influence the single monetary policy. This is corroborated by the fact that within the Eurozone, what we call the “economic leaders” maintain a significant trade-off between inflation and unemployment.
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Dates et versions

hal-03790350 , version 1 (28-09-2022)

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Jean-Louis Combes, Pierre Lesuisse. Inflation and unemployment, new insights during the EMU accession. International Economics, 2022, 172, pp.124-142. ⟨10.1016/j.inteco.2022.09.004⟩. ⟨hal-03790350⟩
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