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Conference Papers Year : 2022

Subjective probability in use: reasoning about a chess game

Abstract

Subjective probability is often left aside in elementary school curricula, despite it is often used in daily-life. In this paper, we expose a didactic experiment with 5 th grade students (10-11 years old) in which they were asked to handle subjective probability. Findings show how students were able to make probability judgements even without a numerical support, they changed their initial judgements when more quality information was provided, and they refrained from state a founded judgement when they considered available information was not enough. Results endorse the importance of introducing this type of probabilistic reasoning in elementary school.
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Dates and versions

hal-03754713 , version 1 (19-08-2022)

Identifiers

  • HAL Id : hal-03754713 , version 1

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Luis J Rodríguez-Muñiz, Lorena Rodríguez-Suárez, Laura Muñiz-Rodríguez. Subjective probability in use: reasoning about a chess game. Twelfth Congress of the European Society for Research in Mathematics Education (CERME12), Feb 2022, Bozen-Bolzano, Italy. ⟨hal-03754713⟩

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